北京大学数字金融研究中心常务副主任
主要工作论文 Volatility During the Financial Crisis Through the Lens of High Frequency Data: A Realized GARCH Approach (with Denisa Banulescu, Peter Hansen and Marius Matei),working paper 2017. ——presented on the Econometric Society 2015 World Congress in Montréal, Canada ——presented on the Eighth Annual SoFiE Conference in CREATES at Aarhus University, 2015 ——presented on the Tenth Annual SoFiE Conference in New York, 2017 Pricing the CBOE VIX with Realized GARCH: the Role of Variance Risk Premium (with Peter Reinhard Hansen and Tianyi Wang), working paper 2017. ——presented on the Eighth Annual SoFiE Conference in CREATES at Aarhus University, 2015 ——presented on the conference New Developments in Measuring and Forecasting Financial Volatility at Duke University, September 2016.
Oil Markets and Price Movements: A Survey of Models, with Hillard Huntington, Saud M. Al-Fattah, Michael Gucwa and Ali Nouri, 2013. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract="2264034 “波动率长记忆性建模:基于混频数据回归与已实现波动率的新模型”(与王天一、刘浩合著),已投稿。 主要发表论文
Stock Liquidity and Firm Value: Evidence from China (with Lijie Zhang, Yong Li and Xinhan Chen), forthcoming at Applied Economics Letters. Pricing the CBOE VIX Futures with the Heston-Nandi GARCH Model (with Tianyi Wang, Yiwen Shen and Yueting Jiang), Journal of Futures Markets, Vol 37, Issue 7, 2017. Option Pricing with the Realized GARCH Model: An Analytical Approximation Approach (with Tianyi Wang and Peter Hansen), Journal of Futures Markets, Volume 37, Issue 4, 2017. The Impact of Privatization on TFP: A Quasi-Experiment in China” (with Zhi Luo, Xiaohua Wang and Tianyi Wang), Annals of Economics and Finance,Volume 18, Issue 1, 2017.
China’s Personal Credit Reporting System in the Internet Finance Era: Challenges and Opportunities (with Yang Lei and Shihan Shen), China Economic Journal, Volume 9. No. 3, 2016. Exponential GARCH Modeling with Realized Measures of Volatility (with Peter Reinhard Hansen),Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,Volume 34, Issue 2, 2016.
Revisiting the Risk-return Relation: Decomposition of Risk Premium and Volatility Feedback Effect (with Liu Hao, Shihan Shen and Tianyi Wang), China Economic Journal, Volume 9. No. 2, 2016.
Modeling the Long Memory Volatility Using Realized Measures of Volatility (with Hao Liu and Tianyi Wang), Economic Modelling,Volume 52, January 2016. The Spirit of Capitalism and the Equity Premium, (with Qin Wang, Yiheng Zou and Yu Ren), Annals of Economics and Finance, Vol. 16, Issue 2, November 2015. Is There a Structural Change in the Persistence of WTI-Brent Oil Spreads in Post-2010? (with Wei Chen and Yanping Yi), Economic Modelling , Volume 50, November 2015 . The Asset Management Industry in China: Its Past Performance and Future Prospects” (with Zhiwu Chen and Peng Xiong), Journal of Portfolio Management, Volume 41, No. 5, 2014. Estimation of Extreme Value-at-Risk: An EVT Approach for Quantile GARCH Model, (with Yanping Yi and Xingdong Feng), Economics Letters, Volume 124, Issue 3, 2014. Oil Price Drivers and Movements: The Challenge for Future Research, (with Huntington, Hillard, Al-Fattah, Saud M., Gucwa, Michael and Nouri, Ali), Alternative Investment Analyst Review, Vol. 2, Issue 4, 2014. Realized GARCH: A Joint Model of Returns and Realized Measures of Volatility (with Peter Reinhard Hansen and Howard Shek), Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 27, No. 6, 2012. Winner of the Richard Stone Best Paper Prize for the two years of 2012-2013 at Journal of Applied Econometrics Thomson Reuters ESI Top 1% Highly Cited Paper 第七届高等学校科学研究优秀成果奖(人文社会科学)二等奖
Ownership Restructuring, Marketization and Wealth Inequality in Urban China: 1995 and 2002 (with Xiaobin He), China & World Economy, Vol. 20, No. 5, 2012.
The Relationship between Volatility and Trading Volume in the Chinese Stock Market: A Volatility Decomposition Perspective (with Tianyi Wang), Annals of Economics and Finance, Vol. 13, No. 1, 2012. “Gram-Charlier分布在动态金融高阶矩建模中的近似误差”(与王天一、李超合著),《数理统计与管理》,已接受待发表。 “动态金融高阶矩建模:基于Generalized-t分布和Gram-Charlier展开分布的比较研究”(与李超合著),《中国管理科学》,2015年第10期。 "中国股市‘特质性波动率之谜’研究"(与康辰、王小华合著),《山东社会科学》,2015年第7期。 “Realized GAS-GARCH模型及其在VaR预测中的应用”(与王天一合著), 《管理科学学报》,2015年第5期。 “利用高频数据预测沪深300指数波动率——基于Realized GARCH模型的实证研究”,(与王天一、赵晓军合著),《世界经济文汇》,2014年第5期。 “中国股票市场的风险收益关系研究——基于波动率反馈和APARCH-NIG模型的新视角”(与王天一、刘浩合著),《浙江社会科学》,2014年第10期。 “中国能源体制改革:有效的市场,有为的政府”,(与王敏、徐晋涛合著),《国际经济评论》,2014年第4期。 “高频农产品期货波动率和相关性预测:基于Realized Copula-DCC 模型的视角”,(与黄雯、王天一合著),《浙江社会科学》,2013年第5期。
"股权投资基金与企业实际投资的实证研究",(与刘媛媛、何小锋合著),《商业经济与管理》,2012年第10期。 “空间经济学在中国,”(与梁琦合著),《经济学季刊》,2012年第3期。 “高频数据波动率建模:基于厚尾分布的 Realized GARCH 模型,”(与王天一合著),《数量经济技术经济研究》, 2012年第5期。 “基于高频数据的波动率建模及应用研究评述,”(与王天一合著), 《经济学动态》, 2012年第3期。 “‘碳关税’与贸易保护主义是一回事吗?”《国际经济评论》 2011年第5期。《中国社会科学文摘》2012年第2期转载。 “IPO初始回报与风险投资参与—基于我国创业板的实证研究”(与刘媛媛、何小锋合著),《当代经济科学》,2012年第2期。 "私募股权投资与公司盈利能力关系的实证研究"(与刘媛媛、何小锋合著),《金融与经济》, 2011年第10期。 "中国上市公司股权结构与公司绩效实证研究", (与刘媛媛、Tse、何小锋合著),《经济与管理研究》 2011年第2期。 “公司治理理论前沿综述”,(与姚伟、郭磊合著),《经济研究》 2003年第5期。
已出版著作 《金融科技的中国时代:数字金融12讲》(黄卓、王海明、沈艳、谢绚丽合编),中国人民大学出版社,2017年。 《数字普惠金融的中国实践》(北京大学数字金融研究中心课题组),中国人民大学出版社, 2017年。
《互联网金融12讲》(黄益平、王海明、沈艳、黄卓合编),人民大学出版社,2016年。主持课题:
2017-2020 国家自然科学基金面上项目 “基于高频金融数据的期权定价新模型: 理论和实证研究”
2015-2016 中国金融四十人论坛课题 “互联网金融时代中国个人征信体系建设研究 ” 2012-2015 国家自然科学基金青年项目 “基于Realized GARCH框架的波动率和相关性模型理论和应用研究” 2012-2014 教育部人文社会科学基金青年项目 “金融化和投机对国际油价的影响:基于行为金融学的视角”